Association of Issuing Bodies AIB CADv2024

Dataset info

Full name

Association of Issuing Bodies - European Production and Residual Mixes

Publisher

Association of Issuing Bodies

Description

Electricity Emission Factor set published by the Association of Issuing Bodies where the grid mix as well as the residual grid mix (for untracked consumption) is calculated.

Version nr.

CADv2024

Publications included

AIB 2023 v1.0, AIB 2022 v1.0, AIB 2021 v1.1, AIB 2020 v1.0, AIB 2019 v1.1, AIB 2018 v1.4, AIB 2017 v1.13

Methodological Readout Details

Changes for years 2023 and 2024

AIB has an annual publishing cycle, where the factors are published for Y-1. The 2024 publication (June 2024) therefore is called 2023 and includes the emission factors for 2023 (Y-1) for all countries. This process is repeated annually.

This CADv2024 update in Carbon+Alt+Delete therefore replaces the values with mean reporting dates after 01/01/2023 to these AIB 2023 values, replacing the previous extrapolation from AIB 2022.

With this change comes variability, accentuated by the complicated nature of the residual mix calculations, and by the fact that global energy markets have been unpredictable in the past couple of years.

A detailed overview of all factors can be found in the main publication. Their publishing page for 2024 however highlights of the major result changes. These are repeated here:

  • The share of renewable energy in the residual mix decreased by over 10pp in 5 countries: Belgium, Denmark, Lithuania, Montenegro, Norway. In addition, the decrease was 4-7pp in Finland, Greece, Croatia, Iceland, Portugal, Slovenia, and Slovakia (7 countries).

  • On the contrary, the renewable share increased notably in the residual mixes of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Great Britain, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Romania, and Sweden.

Note that most of these changes are a regression to the mean; often correcting a big spike in residual emissions in 2022 compared to the baseline.

See the table below for some highlighted residual mix factors that are undergoing a big adjustment, hand-picked for relevance.

Country
Reporting Year
Adjustment

Belgium

2023, 2024

+16%

France

2023, 2024

-68%

Germany

2023, 2024

-48%

Ireland

2023, 2024

+40%

Italy

2023, 2024

+30%

Slovakia

2023, 2024

+90%

United Kingdom

2023, 2024

-12%

The cited differences are relative differences on lifecycle factors (all stages).

Emission factors for the country average mix (supplier mix) and location-based factors (production mix) are typically adjusted similarly, but with smaller magnitudes.

Important keyword changes

  • AIB electricity keyword details have changed for to improve clarity and transparency

    • Green has been renamed to Green electricity contract

    • Country average has been renamed to Country average mix

    • Grey has been renamed Residual mix (no green electricity contract), as to remove any confusion about the interpretation of the word "Grey". This new phrasing also reflects the source naming more accurately. Additionally, this renaming stresses that this option should be used for all cases where a green contract is not explicitly present, in order to avoid double-counting of market-based emissions.

Other changes

  • Emission factors for 2022 are now read out more accurately with more significant digits.

  • Emission factors for Norway and Austria - country average mix are now fixed, and also contain a market-location based split.

Dataset Quality Flags

This dataset has no greenhouse gas split available, and only reports CO2 factors.

This dataset does not contain information about the bioCO2 produced by electricity generated by biofuels.

The slow publishing cycle of AIB introduces relative big shifts for emissions, affecting the year before this year (Y-1). These should be used with caution and with a good understanding of the uncertainty involved.

Emission Factor Flags

No residual mix is calculated for Austria and Switzerland due to full disclosure regimes. The residual mix is presented as zero, but should in practice not be used.

The production mix for Norway is 0 in 2023, resulting in 0 kgCO2/kWh location-based emissions for all details.

www.aib-net.org/facts/european-residual-mix/2023

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